The aim of my blog is to aid my personal development as a Trader and Technical Analyst whilst studying for an STA Diploma with the Society of Technical Analysts.

Any opinions expressed on this site are solely of my own and should not be taken as financial advice.

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9 May 2012

FX HEATMAP (Daily Data)

                 
  Relative strength = % of Distance above or below 200eMA (Averaged between pairs)
  AUD CAD CHF EUR GBP JPY NZD USD
4hr -0.21 0.09 -0.31 -0.45 1.59 2.45 -2.55 0.97
                 
                 
  Relative strength = % P/L (Averaged between pairs)
                 
  AUD CAD CHF EUR GBP JPY NZD USD
1x Day -0.68 -0.37 0.05 0.03 0.26 0.89 -0.85 0.47
                 
5x Days -1.09 -0.21 -0.53 -0.57 1.02 2.23 -2.44 1.61
                 
20x Days -1.10 0.67 -0.33 -0.32 2.46 1.68 -3.58 0.39
                 
3 Months -4.92 1.93 1.14 0.27 4.95 -1.51 -3.58 2.36

FTSE350 Sectors - Today's Losers vs LOSERS

EPIC
Name
%
NMX2350
I - FTSE 350 Sector Construction & Materials
-4.10
NMX1730
I - FTSE 350 Sector Forestry & Paper
-3.90
NMX1770
I - FTSE 350 Sector Mining
-3.90
NMX1750
I - FTSE 350 Sector Industrial Metals
-3.90
NMX0570
I - FTSE 350 Sector Oil Equipment, Services & Distribution
-3.80
NMX2730
I - FTSE 350 Sector Electronic & Electrical Equipment
-3.60
NMX2720
I - FTSE 350 Sector General Industrials
-3.40
NMX3350
I - FTSE 350 Sector Automobiles & Parts
-3.40
NMX3760
I - FTSE 350 Sector Personal Goods
-3.40
NMX2790
I - FTSE 350 Sector Support Services
-3.00
NMX8770
I - FTSE 350 Sector Financial Services
-3.00
NMX0530
I - FTSE 350 Sector Oil & Gas Producers
-2.90
NMX9570
I - FTSE 350 Sector Technology Hardware & Equipment
-2.90
MCX
I - FTSE 250
-2.80
NMX9530
I - FTSE 350 Sector Software & Computer Services
-2.60
NMX8570
I - FTSE 350 Sector Life Insurance
-2.50
NMX5370
I - FTSE 350 Sector General Retailers
-2.30
NMX3720
I - FTSE 350 Sector Household Goods
-2.30
NMX2750
I - FTSE 350 Sector Industrial Engineering
-2.30
NMX5550
I - FTSE 350 Sector Media
-2.10
NMX
I - FTSE 350
-2.10
UKX
I - FTSE 100
-1.90
NMX8670
I - FTSE 350 Sector Real Estate Investment Trusts
-1.90
NMX1350
I - FTSE 350 Sector Chemicals
-1.80
NMX8630
I - FTSE 350 Sector Real Estate Investment & Services
-1.70
NMX5750
I - FTSE 350 Sector Travel & Leisure
-1.70
NMX2770
I - FTSE 350 Sector Industrial Transportation
-1.60
NMX4530
I - FTSE 350 Sector Health Care Equipment & Services
-1.60
NMX8530
I - FTSE 350 Sector Nonlife Insurance
-1.50
NMX2710
I - FTSE 350 Sector Aerospace & Defense
-1.40
NMX3570
I - FTSE 350 Sector Food Producers
-1.40
NMX8350
I - FTSE 350 Sector Banks
-1.30
NMX8980
I - FTSE 350 Sector Equity Investment Instruments
-1.30
NMX3780
I - FTSE 350 Sector Tobacco
-1.20
NMX4570
I - FTSE 350 Sector Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology
-1.10
NMX3530
I - FTSE 350 Sector Beverages
-1.10
NMX6570
I - FTSE 350 Sector Mobile Telecommunications
-0.70
NMX7530
I - FTSE 350 Sector Electricity
-0.50
NMX6530
I - FTSE 350 Sector Fixed Line Telecommunications
-0.50
NMX7570
I - FTSE 350 Sector Gas, Water & Multiutilities
-0.40
NMX5330
I - FTSE 350 Sector Food & Drug Retailers
-0.10

6 May 2012

LSE:DCG - Shooting Star at Resistance

EPIC
Name
Sector
Industry
Exchange
Index
Correlation
Beta
DCG
Dairy Crest Group PLC
Food Producers
Consumer Goods
LSE
FTSE Mid 250
0.27
0.45


Analysis
- DCG is in an established downtrend and produced a ‘Shooting Star’ Reversal at a solid resistance level and just beneath the 50eMA 
- The increase in volume is a sign of strength for the resistance level as it shows heavy trading took place but the bulls failed to take control.
- Relative Strength shows DSG is under-performing against FTSE100

Elsewhere
- Although the FTSE had a heavy sell-off on Friday and sentiment is quite bearish DSG seemed to be one of the less affected stocks within the FTSE.
- The Food Producers Sector is within a very choppy uptrend but produced a seller bar in Friday and is potentially within ‘phase 2’ of the long cycle.

Strategy










Entry:
- Make sure there is no gap down as this would make reward/risk unfavourable.
- We could look to enter beneath the low of the candle around 303 but you could also consider an intraday retracement of Friday’s candle to improve the reward/risk.

Stop:
- Above 316; As 315 looks like a solid level of resistance

Target
- Swing low around 287; Beneath here there's no clear historical support levels but you could consider 280 as there was a prior swing low here. 

The Numbers









Entry
303.00

Volatility
1.48%


Stop
316.00

ATR (10 Day)
8.64


Target
287.00

Target
-5.28%











SHORT













R:R Ratio
1.23
:1

Volatility Trade Length
3.57
Days

R:R Points
16.00
13.00

ATR Trade Length
1.85
Days








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